May 11, 2012
Few realize the key role played by a long-discredited 18th century mathematical theory in finding and recovering the wreckage of AF 447.
After a fruitless two-year search for Air France Flight 447, Bayes’ rule pointed to its most probable location—where it was found after only one week of undersea searching.
The 2009 crash of AF 447 was one of the most mysterious accidents in aviation history. (more…)
April 9, 2012
Bill Bryson’s interesting comments about the Rev. Thomas Bayes—comments repeated in two of his recent bestsellers and in a speech before the Royal Society of London—may leave a misleading impression.
Curiously, Bryson says that Bayes’ theorem had “no practical applications at all in his own lifetime.” In fact, Bayes’ theorem was (more…)